Analytics
Resolved Vilius Gaubas on 28 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Vilius Gaubas at 40.5%. Yes opened at 66% on 27 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 27 Jul 2026 to 28 Jul 2026, the highest close was 66% on 27 Jul 2026 and the lowest 59.5% on 28 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 59.5% on 28 Jul 2026. $29.48K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 29, 6:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 27 Jul 2026 – 28 Jul 2026, chart shows 55%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2026 | 66.0% |
| 28 Jul 2026 | 59.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| UpTheBlues | Luka Pavlovic | 2.29K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Luka Pavlovic | 1.48K |
| GC-P | Luka Pavlovic | 700.33 |
| Notradecopy | Luka Pavlovic | 599.18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vilius Gaubas and Luka Pavlovic in the San Marino, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Luka Pavlovic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Vilius Gaubas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-gaubas-pavlovi-2026-07-27
| TE2137 | Luka Pavlovic | 419.22 |
| Faithful-Jazz | Luka Pavlovic | 363.42 |
| Rapid Pulse AF4F | Luka Pavlovic | 338.94 |
| Grand-Vista | Luka Pavlovic | 175 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Luka Pavlovic | 122.13 |
| Murakaby | Luka Pavlovic | 105.88 |
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