Analytics
Resolved Minaur on 13 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Minaur at 29%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 8 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 8 Nov 2025 to 13 Nov 2025, the highest close was 71% on 13 Nov 2025 and the lowest 38% on 9 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 53% on 10 Nov 2025. $1.52M traded over the market's life.
262 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 15, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 8 Nov 2025 – 13 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | 51.5% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | 71.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RebornAthena | Fritz | 8.03K |
| nikobala | Fritz | 5K |
| murec | Fritz | 3.36K |
| sc1pt0x | Fritz | 2.96K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Alex de Minaur in the ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group, scheduled for November 9 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-fritz-minaur-2025-11-09
| masterp | Fritz | 2K |
| Hilarious-Downfall | Fritz | 1.64K |
| Vivacious-Bankbook | Fritz | 1.52K |
| -AL- | Fritz | 1.49K |
| 0xyyss | Fritz | 1.4K |
| shoumishoumi | Fritz | 1.4K |
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