Analytics
Resolved Ben Shelton on 10 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Ben Shelton at 98.5%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 9 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Aug 2026 to 10 Aug 2026, the highest close was 46.5% on 9 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 10 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 1.5% on 10 Aug 2026. $1.31M traded over the market's life.
224 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 11, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Aug 2026 – 10 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2026 | 46.5% |
| 10 Aug 2026 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AV23IUa | Joao Fonseca | 30K |
| UpTheBlues | Joao Fonseca | 24.87K |
| HerbertAppreciator | Joao Fonseca | 15.93K |
| Golden Sphinx BDB3 | Joao Fonseca | 13.9K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Fonseca and Ben Shelton in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Ben Shelton. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Joao Fonseca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-fonseca-shelton-2026-08-10
| Lunar Comet BF4B | Joao Fonseca | 13.41K |
| NiNo999 | Joao Fonseca | 7.61K |
| comon119 | Joao Fonseca | 7.5K |
| jiiivi655 | Joao Fonseca | 7.41K |
| Studious-Derrick | Joao Fonseca | 7.08K |
| kkookkoo | Joao Fonseca | 6.7K |
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