Analytics
Resolved Joao Fonseca on 24 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Joao Fonseca at 8.5%. Yes opened at 87.5% on 23 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 May 2026 to 24 May 2026, the highest close was 91.5% on 24 May 2026 and the lowest 87.5% on 23 May 2026. $324.87K traded over the market's life.
81 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 25, 8:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 May 2026 – 24 May 2026, chart shows 84%–96%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 May 2026 | 87.5% |
| 24 May 2026 | 91.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Worthless-Payment | Luka Pavlovic | 35K |
| venera1234 | Luka Pavlovic | 7.07K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Luka Pavlovic | 5.07K |
| Legitimate-Shoehorn | Luka Pavlovic |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Fonseca and Luka Pavlovic in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Luka Pavlovic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Joao Fonseca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-fonseca-pavlovi-2026-05-24
| 4.15K |
| Decisive-Shipyard | Luka Pavlovic | 3.13K |
| alm19911 | Luka Pavlovic | 2K |
| pressureisaprivilege | Luka Pavlovic | 1.96K |
| 324deeoi234 | Luka Pavlovic | 1.45K |
| Mushy-Pneumonia | Luka Pavlovic | 1.27K |
| Faithful-Jazz | Luka Pavlovic | 1.11K |
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