Analytics
Resolved Duncan Chan on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Duncan Chan at 30.5%. The Roger Pascual Ferra side opened at 50% on 18 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 69.5% on 18 Oct 2026 and the low 43.5% on 18 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 69.5% on 18 Oct 2026. $78.46K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 8:34 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Roger Pascual Ferra price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 18 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 18 Oct, 18:00 UTC, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Roger Pascual Ferra price |
|---|---|
| 18 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 50.0% |
| 18 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 69.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| robustmst | Roger Pascual Ferra | 42.32K |
| Haku787 | Roger Pascual Ferra | 885.62 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Roger Pascual Ferra | 533.87 |
| thestingsnake | Roger Pascual Ferra | 258.94 |
| Mother-Teresa | Roger Pascual Ferra | 214.93 |
| xxxzibit | Roger Pascual Ferra | 199.23 |
| Reflecting-Gearshift | Roger Pascual Ferra | 152.19 |
| qrup | Roger Pascual Ferra | 117.49 |
| paulaoofc | Roger Pascual Ferra | 105 |
| hhhizli | Roger Pascual Ferra | 90.91 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Roger Pascual Ferra and Duncan Chan in the Fort Worth, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roger Pascual Ferra' if Roger Pascual Ferra advances against Duncan Chan. This market will resolve to 'Duncan Chan' if Duncan Chan advances against Roger Pascual Ferra. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-ferra-chan-2026-10-18
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
