The question, the state of play, and how it settles
Facts updated 25d ago
“Kingston 2: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Richard Mallory” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. The Yes price is the crowd's implied probability that the question resolves Yes; every trade on the public order book moves it.
The venue reports this market as closed. Its scheduled close is Aug 30, 2026. No resolved outcome is inferred from a closed or suspended state.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 64 recent public fills from 33 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Timeline
Event starts
Aug 23, 2026
Trading closed
Aug 30, 2026
Now
Live observation
Event startsAug 23, 2026
Source Evidence
Evidence coverage
Items
2
Fetched
2
Latest
25d ago
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Depth
Observed
25d ago
This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.
Market state
Closed
Order book
Captured book available
Observed Yes
50.0%
The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.
Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.
Rows loaded
Wallets
Top 10 share
Yes / No shares
The provider top-holder sample is currently unavailable.
Recent tapeLatest public market trades.
Trades loaded
64
Wallets
33
Loaded notional
$39.98K
Richard Mallory sell at 49.0%
Field guide
How to read this market
9 stops
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
01
Yes and No prices
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Last observed
Yes 50.0¢ · No 50.0¢
02
Implied probability
Price historyPolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Aug 24, 12:00 AM
Points
1
Latest close
50.5%
Last bucket
Aug 24, 12:00 AM
Top holdersLargest rows from the capped public top-holder endpoint; not venue-wide open interest.
Top-holder sample unavailable
The current provider holder request did not complete. No legacy holder rows are being substituted.
Event contextBest-effort grouped event lookup for this market.
Kingston 2: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Richard Mallory
Uncategorized • 2 linked markets
tennis
More in this event
Kingston 2: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Richard Mallory
What is the “Kingston 2: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Richard Mallory” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Kingston 2: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Richard Mallory Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 50.0¢ and No at 50.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 50.0% for Yes and 50.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Aug 30, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Gonzalez Fernandez and Richard Mallory in the Kingston 2, Jamaica, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mario Gonzalez Fernandez' if Mario Gonzalez Fernandez advances against Richard Mallory. This market will resolve to 'Richard Mallory' if Richard Mallory advances against Mario Gonzalez Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($124.61K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Trading closedAug 30, 2026
NowLive observation
Outcomes
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
50.0¢ · 50.0%
Richard Mallory
50.0¢ · 50.0%
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Gonzalez Fernandez and Richard Mallory in the Kingston 2, Jamaica, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Mario Gonzalez Fernandez' if Mario Gonzalez Fernandez advances against Richard Mallory.
This market will resolve to 'Richard Mallory' if Richard Mallory advances against Mario Gonzalez Fernandez.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Aug 24, 12:00 AM
Points
1
Move
0.0 pts
Range
50.5% - 50.5%
Aug 24, 12:00 AM to Aug 24, 12:00 AM
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ means the crowd gives Yes about a 21.5% chance right now. It moves with every trade, so it is a live forecast, not a verdict.
Yes chance
50.0%
03
24h volume
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Traded in 24h
$124.61K
04
Liquidity
Dollars resting in the order book, waiting to be traded against. Deep liquidity lets a large order fill near the quoted price; thin liquidity means the price jumps when someone trades size.
05
Spread
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
06
Top holders and concentration
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
07
Trade tape
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Loaded fills
64 fills · 33 wallets · $39.98K
08
Price history
Hourly closes of the Yes price. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
09
Close and resolution
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
Closes
Aug 30, 2026
sports
games
uncategorized
This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Gonzalez Fernandez and Richard Mallory in the Kingston 2, Jamaica, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Mario Gonzalez Fernandez' if Mario Gonzalez Fernandez advances against Richard Mallory.
This market will resolve to 'Richard Mallory' if Richard Mallory advances against Mario Gonzalez Fernandez.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
EvidenceMarket-scoped source, creator, and related-market links.
Top holders by valueReturned holders ranked by current holding value. Profit and win rate are unavailable for this sample.
No trader leaderboard
Market-scoped trader rows are not available for this market.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Aug 25, 1:19 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/atp-fernan-mallory-2026-08-23) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
