Analytics
Resolved Jacob Fearnley on 24 Oct 2026.
$198.26K traded over the market's life.
72 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 4:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Jacob Fearnley price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 52%–62%
| Observed | Jacob Fearnley price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 57.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| robustmst | Pablo Carreno Busta | 79.6K |
| Kkunn | Pablo Carreno Busta | 30K |
| tennistrader20 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 13.26K |
| Reliable-Giggle | Pablo Carreno Busta | 5.38K |
| Irresponsible-Autumn | Jacob Fearnley | 2.3K |
| IAmSparta | Pablo Carreno Busta | 1.87K |
| Juan12345678 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 1.2K |
| Dismal-Sousaphone | Pablo Carreno Busta | 1.04K |
| Rugago10 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 1.03K |
| NatoAlfista | Pablo Carreno Busta | 865 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Jacob Fearnley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-fearnle-busta-2026-10-24
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