Analytics
Resolved Joel Schwaerzler on 3 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Joel Schwaerzler at 56.5%. The Mathys Erhard side opened at 50% on 1 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 1 Mar 2026 to 3 Mar 2026, the highest close was 50% on 1 Mar 2026 and the lowest 43.5% on 2 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 43.5% on 2 Mar 2026. $100.55K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Mathys Erhard price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 1 Mar 2026 – 3 Mar 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Mathys Erhard price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 3 Mar 2026 | 43.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Mathys Erhard | 7.88K |
| DOLLAR-PRINTER | Mathys Erhard | 2.73K |
| kiinndz | Mathys Erhard | 2K |
| Shabby-Vista | Mathys Erhard | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Mathys Erhard and Joel Schwaerzler in the Kigali, scheduled for March 2 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mathys Erhard' if Mathys Erhard advances against Joel Schwaerzler. This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Mathys Erhard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-erhard-schwaer-2026-03-02
| KJFTW | Mathys Erhard | 635.04 |
| Gargantuan-Basis | Mathys Erhard | 599.72 |
| IKun11 | Mathys Erhard | 454.18 |
| PatouBrenner | Mathys Erhard | 398 |
| Subandiduuu | Mathys Erhard | 300 |
| Royal Voyager A2FB | Mathys Erhard | 256 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
