Analytics
Resolved Travaglia on 13 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Travaglia at 84%. The Ellis side opened at 32.5% on 12 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 12 Jan 2026 to 13 Jan 2026, the highest close was 32.5% on 12 Jan 2026 and the lowest 16% on 13 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 16% on 13 Jan 2026. $8.42K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 14, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Ellis price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 12 Jan 2026 – 13 Jan 2026, chart shows 10%–40%
| Observed | Ellis price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 | 32.5% |
| 13 Jan 2026 | 16.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Ellis | 605.18 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Ellis | 230 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Ellis | 224 |
| Azub | Ellis | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Blake Ellis and Stefano Travaglia in the Australian Open, Qualification ATP, scheduled for January 12 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ellis' if Blake Ellis advances against Stefano Travaglia. This market will resolve to 'Travaglia' if Stefano Travaglia advances against Blake Ellis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://ausopen.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-ellis-travagl-2026-01-12
| Bold Scout BD7E | Ellis | 107 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Ellis | 66 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Ellis | 63 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Ellis | 61 |
| Crovax | Ellis | 38 |
| bob0bur | Ellis | 30.2 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
