Analytics
Resolved Miguel/Ribeiro on 2 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Miguel/Ribeiro at 44.5%. The Arias/Carou side was at 50% at 2 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 3 price reads from 2 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 2 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the highest read was 55.5% on 2 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC and the lowest 50% on 2 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. $1.26K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 11:17 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Arias/Carou price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 2 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 2 Oct, 18:00 UTC, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Arias/Carou price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 50.0% |
| 2 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 55.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jerrforever | Arias/Carou | 104.71 |
| NeedForDead | Arias/Carou | 60 |
| predict008 | Arias/Carou | 30 |
| Vigilant-Environment | Arias/Carou | 24.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Arias/Carou and Miguel/Ribeiro in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arias/Carou' if the team of Arias/Carou advances against Miguel/Ribeiro. This market will resolve to 'Miguel/Ribeiro' if the team of Miguel/Ribeiro advances against Arias/Carou. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-doubles-ariacar-migurib-2026-10-02
| Ornery-Stinger | Arias/Carou | 20.91 |
| lluism2 | Arias/Carou | 15.38 |
| kitopesivan | Arias/Carou | 13 |
| grandculp | Arias/Carou | 6 |
| capitalpiston2 | Arias/Carou | 5.34 |
| ezp-gk-16 | Arias/Carou | 5 |
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