Analytics
Resolved Matthew William Donald on 22 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Matthew William Donald at 38.5%. The Matthew William Donald side opened at 50% on 20 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2026 to 22 Sep 2026, the highest close was 50% on 20 Sep 2026 and the lowest 38.5% on 22 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 43% on 21 Sep 2026. $228.63K traded over the market's life.
97 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 23, 9:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Matthew William Donald price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 20 Sep 2026 – 22 Sep 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Matthew William Donald price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 22 Sep 2026 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anon122 | Gianluca Cadenasso | 7.57K |
| RebornAthena | Gianluca Cadenasso | 5.31K |
| itsonlyamatteroftime | Gianluca Cadenasso | 5.15K |
| walletfiend | Gianluca Cadenasso |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Gianluca Cadenasso in the Genoa 2, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Gianluca Cadenasso. This market will resolve to 'Gianluca Cadenasso' if Gianluca Cadenasso advances against Matthew William Donald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-donald-cadenas-2026-09-21
| 4.41K |
| Generous-Burning | Gianluca Cadenasso | 3.91K |
| svelzao | Gianluca Cadenasso | 2.78K |
| Stavaharon | Gianluca Cadenasso | 2.32K |
| LFP272 | Gianluca Cadenasso | 2.1K |
| Lastdance67888990 | Gianluca Cadenasso | 2.01K |
| noosh3 | Gianluca Cadenasso | 846 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
