Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Yes at 52%. Yes was at 50.5% at 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC to 18 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the highest read was 52% on 18 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC and the lowest 50.5% on 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. $1.1K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 7:51 AM UTC
6-hour closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 17 Oct, 18:00 UTC – 18 Oct, 06:00 UTC, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 50.5% |
| 18 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 52.0% |
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This market refers to the tennis match between Yaroslav Demin and Alexandr Binda in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-demin-binda-2026-10-18
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