Analytics
The Luciano Darderi side is at 45.5% on Polymarket.
It is one of 16 markets under “Erste Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Matteo Arnaldi”.
$1.54K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $66.2K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 26 trades, $329.22 bought Luciano Darderi and $337.97 bought Matteo Arnaldi.
The largest Luciano Darderi position is Emerald Signal 3CA3 with 426 shares; the largest Matteo Arnaldi position is VeryLucky888 with 483. Ten wallets hold 80.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 9 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 8:04 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Luciano Darderi price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 26 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–52%
| Observed | Luciano Darderi price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | 45.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| VeryLucky888 | Matteo Arnaldi | 483.1 |
| Emerald Signal 3CA3 | Luciano Darderi | 425.53 |
| Po1yamory | Matteo Arnaldi | 320.88 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Matteo Arnaldi in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Matteo Arnaldi. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Luciano Darderi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-darderi-arnaldi-2026-10-27
4 more markets, none above 44.5%.
| 38791873984189 | Luciano Darderi | 196.8 |
| Swift Signal F1D2 | Matteo Arnaldi | 193.62 |
| notbroken | Luciano Darderi | 99.99 |
| periwins | Matteo Arnaldi | 63.64 |
| Swift Pulse 7312 | Luciano Darderi | 53.19 |
| Pan9X | Luciano Darderi | 50 |
| umalytic | Luciano Darderi | 49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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