Analytics
Resolved Gustavo Heide on 9 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Gustavo Heide at 73.5%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 8 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 47.5% on 8 Jul 2026 and the low 26.5% on 9 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 26.5% on 9 Jul 2026. $115.66K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 10, 6:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 8 Jul 2026 – 9 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2026 | 47.5% |
| 9 Jul 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Cezar Cretu | 25.07K |
| hikoltri | Cezar Cretu | 1.59K |
| Frightening-Start | Cezar Cretu | 1K |
| AlligatorMarket | Cezar Cretu | 263.15 |
| Neon Beacon 7E77 | Cezar Cretu | 95.74 |
| CavaSoTasty | Cezar Cretu | 91.78 |
| petey-09 | Cezar Cretu | 87.5 |
| Pandaboss1950 | Cezar Cretu | 78.16 |
| charay12 | Cezar Cretu | 32.05 |
| 0cfcdb09827 | Cezar Cretu | 30 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Cezar Cretu and Gustavo Heide in the Iasi, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cezar Cretu' if Cezar Cretu advances against Gustavo Heide. This market will resolve to 'Gustavo Heide' if Gustavo Heide advances against Cezar Cretu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-cretu-heide-2026-07-09
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