
Resolved Daniel Rincon on 3 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Daniel Rincon at 25%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 75% on 3 Jul 2026 and the low 49.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 75% on 3 Jul 2026. $157.25K traded over the market's life.
76 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 4, 4:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 2 Jul 2026 – 3 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 49.5% |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 75.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Numb-Ramie | Francisco Comesana | 6.29K |
| robustmst | Francisco Comesana | 6.05K |
| catsw | Francisco Comesana | 3.17K |
| cryptogyry | Francisco Comesana | 1.51K |
| kitopesivan | Francisco Comesana | 832.16 |
| Unwilling-Brewer | Francisco Comesana | 457 |
| Quirky-Arrogance | Francisco Comesana | 456.27 |
| Used-Efficiency | Francisco Comesana | 409.57 |
| yishiwucheng | Francisco Comesana | 125 |
| Gorgeous-Intellect | Francisco Comesana | 122.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Comesana and Daniel Rincon in the Milan, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Comesana' if Francisco Comesana advances against Daniel Rincon. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Rincon' if Daniel Rincon advances against Francisco Comesana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-comesan-rincon-2026-07-03
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