Analytics
Resolved Raphael Collignon on 17 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Raphael Collignon at 41.5%. Yes opened at 61.5% on 16 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 16 Jul 2026 to 17 Jul 2026, the highest close was 61.5% on 16 Jul 2026 and the lowest 58.5% on 17 Jul 2026. $1.02M traded over the market's life.
175 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 18, 11:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 16 Jul 2026 – 17 Jul 2026, chart shows 54%–66%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2026 | 61.5% |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 58.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Kestrel 9CF8 | Valentin Vacherot | 39.56K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Valentin Vacherot | 20.17K |
| Reliable-Giggle | Valentin Vacherot | 12.72K |
| castlebot | Valentin Vacherot |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Raphael Collignon and Valentin Vacherot in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Valentin Vacherot. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Raphael Collignon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-collign-vachero-2026-07-17
| 10.66K |
| Bagwell306 | Valentin Vacherot | 10K |
| NewTeamSosed2 | Valentin Vacherot | 10K |
| AnonymousUsername | Valentin Vacherot | 8.08K |
| Numb-Ramie | Valentin Vacherot | 5.24K |
| predictionponyft | Valentin Vacherot | 4.8K |
| Jumbo-Lawn | Valentin Vacherot | 4.48K |
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