
Resolved Nakashima on 9 Jan 2026.
$206.9K traded over the market's life.
48 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 10, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 1 point · 9 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 38%–48%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2026 | 43.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Aespafans | Collignon | 11.25K |
| allpinkynobrain | Collignon | 3.17K |
| XSRM | Collignon | 2.38K |
| xpr | Collignon | 2.26K |
| Frizzy-Schnitzel | Collignon | 2.23K |
| knedloveprovelo | Collignon | 1.04K |
| BrokenKeyboard | Collignon | 960 |
| ElInesperado | Collignon | 596.94 |
| Animated-Sycamore | Collignon | 483.53 |
| Froy5 | Collignon | 429.8 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Raphael Collignon and Brandon Nakashima in the Brisbane International, scheduled for January 9 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Raphael Collignon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-collign-nakashi-2026-01-09
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