Analytics
Resolved Frances Tiafoe on 15 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Frances Tiafoe at 57.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 14 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2026 to 15 Jun 2026, the highest close was 48.5% on 14 Jun 2026 and the lowest 42.5% on 15 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 42.5% on 15 Jun 2026. $550.97K traded over the market's life.
146 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 16, 5:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 14 Jun 2026 – 15 Jun 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | 48.5% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | 42.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| megashvbwuy | Flavio Cobolli | 11.13K |
| RDLedger | Flavio Cobolli | 4.99K |
| Faithful-Jazz | Flavio Cobolli | 3.57K |
| Lilybaeum | Flavio Cobolli | 3.04K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Frances Tiafoe in the Halle Open, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Flavio Cobolli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-cobolli-tiafoe-2026-06-15
| jiiivi655 | Flavio Cobolli | 2.3K |
| Quiet Atlas 0690 | Flavio Cobolli | 1.36K |
| alm19911 | Flavio Cobolli | 1.11K |
| KAMAPULA | Flavio Cobolli | 1.11K |
| DCAETH | Flavio Cobolli | 1K |
| tenidspfmsp | Flavio Cobolli | 999.99 |
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