Analytics
Resolved Federico Cina on 24 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Federico Cina at 36.5%. Yes opened at 59.5% on 23 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 63.5% on 24 May 2026 and the low 59.5% on 23 May 2026. $474.93K traded over the market's life.
137 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 25, 6:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 23 May 2026 – 24 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 56%–68%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 May 2026 | 59.5% |
| 24 May 2026 | 63.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Reilly Opelka | 30.66K |
| Flickering-Agony | Reilly Opelka | 17.12K |
| Generous-Burning | Reilly Opelka | 5.56K |
| DCAETH | Reilly Opelka | 5.11K |
| MaxiChibrax | Reilly Opelka | 4.16K |
| cumulus33 | Reilly Opelka | 3.5K |
| Numb-Ramie | Reilly Opelka | 3.02K |
| Bagwell306 | Reilly Opelka | 2.39K |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Reilly Opelka | 1.33K |
| ic4cream | Reilly Opelka | 1.31K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Cina and Reilly Opelka in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Reilly Opelka. This market will resolve to 'Reilly Opelka' if Reilly Opelka advances against Federico Cina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-cina-opelka-2026-05-24
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