Analytics
Resolved Filip Peliwo on 26 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Filip Peliwo at 25.5%. The Luca Castelnuovo side was at 72.5% at 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC to 26 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the highest read was 74.5% on 26 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC and the lowest 72.5% on 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. $25.43K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 9:26 AM UTC
6-hour closes of the Luca Castelnuovo price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 25 Oct, 18:00 UTC – 26 Oct, 06:00 UTC, chart shows 68%–80%
| Observed | Luca Castelnuovo price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 72.5% |
| 26 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 74.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Luca Castelnuovo | 647.07 |
| w... | Luca Castelnuovo | 398 |
| Mother-Teresa | Luca Castelnuovo | 63.02 |
| Infatuated-Burglar | Luca Castelnuovo |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Filip Peliwo in the Ningbo, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Filip Peliwo. This market will resolve to 'Filip Peliwo' if Filip Peliwo advances against Luca Castelnuovo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-casteln-peliwo-2026-10-25
| 52.27 |
| bjp2hfg12 | Luca Castelnuovo | 40.49 |
| TheRomanProcurator | Luca Castelnuovo | 38.96 |
| Vigilant-Environment | Luca Castelnuovo | 36.84 |
| Pan9X | Luca Castelnuovo | 36 |
| grandculp | Luca Castelnuovo | 33 |
| tatkamatv78 | Luca Castelnuovo | 32.23 |
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