Analytics
Resolved Semen Pankin on 25 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Semen Pankin at 53%. Yes opened at 51% on 24 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51% on 24 May 2026 and the low 47% on 25 May 2026. $22.39K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 26, 5:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 24 May 2026 – 25 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | 51.0% |
| 25 May 2026 | 47.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Treasured-Essential-Premeditation | Luca Castelnuovo | 1K |
| Honorable-Webmail | Luca Castelnuovo | 553.53 |
| akirra | Luca Castelnuovo | 185.77 |
| dededed3 | Luca Castelnuovo | 154.97 |
| EV88 | Luca Castelnuovo | 153.14 |
| stand.napkincycle | Luca Castelnuovo | 90.91 |
| Maryyyyyy | Luca Castelnuovo | 75.95 |
| slotangle.brave | Luca Castelnuovo | 72.73 |
| ItsMeCC | Luca Castelnuovo | 58.82 |
| oraclewar | Luca Castelnuovo | 49.27 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Semen Pankin in the Centurion, originally scheduled for May 25, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Semen Pankin. This market will resolve to 'Semen Pankin' if Semen Pankin advances against Luca Castelnuovo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-casteln-pankin-2026-05-25
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