Analytics
Resolved Pavel Kotov on 22 Sep 2026.
$566.1K traded over the market's life.
69 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 23, 10:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Luca Castelnuovo price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 22 Sep 2026, chart shows 20%–35%
| Observed | Luca Castelnuovo price |
|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| watcherz88 | Luca Castelnuovo | 38.46K |
| xabidaking | Luca Castelnuovo | 7.66K |
| yesmate | Luca Castelnuovo | 3.37K |
| Generous-Burning | Luca Castelnuovo | 3.03K |
| Carlos10 | Luca Castelnuovo | 1.52K |
| PPgaras | Luca Castelnuovo | 1.5K |
| 0cfcdb09827 | Luca Castelnuovo | 1.15K |
| sau18 | Luca Castelnuovo | 975.61 |
| Remarkable-Object | Luca Castelnuovo | 859.69 |
| Quirky-Arrogance | Luca Castelnuovo | 576.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Pavel Kotov in the Chengdu Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Pavel Kotov. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Luca Castelnuovo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-casteln-kotov-2026-09-21
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