Analytics
Resolved Mario Gonzalez Fernandez on 1 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Mario Gonzalez Fernandez at 37.5%. The Luca Castelnuovo side opened at 50.5% on 31 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 62.5% on 1 Jun 2026 and the low 50.5% on 31 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 62.5% on 1 Jun 2026. $29.65K traded over the market's life.
94 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 4:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Luca Castelnuovo price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 31 May 2026 – 1 Jun 2026 · axis zoomed to 45%–65%
| Observed | Luca Castelnuovo price |
|---|---|
| 31 May 2026 | 50.5% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | 62.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Firsthand-Miscommunication | Luca Castelnuovo | 1.25K |
| Misty Meteor 8503 | Luca Castelnuovo | 1K |
| lohon.advanture | Luca Castelnuovo | 312.5 |
| lomatic | Luca Castelnuovo |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Mario Gonzalez Fernandez in the Centurion 2, originally scheduled for June 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Mario Gonzalez Fernandez. This market will resolve to 'Mario Gonzalez Fernandez' if Mario Gonzalez Fernandez advances against Luca Castelnuovo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-casteln-fernan-2026-06-01
| 208 |
| BlasdeLezo1492 | Luca Castelnuovo | 200 |
| Whimsical-Deliberation | Luca Castelnuovo | 198.44 |
| firebah | Luca Castelnuovo | 170.1 |
| FLRC | Luca Castelnuovo | 159.82 |
| chaparro011 | Luca Castelnuovo | 158.73 |
| Uhahd86264 | Luca Castelnuovo | 158.73 |
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