Analytics
Resolved Matthew Dellavedova on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Matthew Dellavedova at 62.5%. The Luca Castelnuovo side opened at 30.5% on 30 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 37.5% on 1 Sep 2026 and the low 30.5% on 30 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 37.5% on 1 Sep 2026. $76.84K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 5:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Luca Castelnuovo price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 30 Aug 2026 – 1 Sep 2026 · axis zoomed to 25%–40%
| Observed | Luca Castelnuovo price |
|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | 30.5% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 37.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Luca Castelnuovo | 18.18K |
| Complicated-Chassis | Luca Castelnuovo | 2.2K |
| Cosmic Voyager 8792 | Luca Castelnuovo | 2.05K |
| thestingsnake | Luca Castelnuovo |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Matthew Dellavedova in the Zhangjiagang, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Matthew Dellavedova. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Dellavedova' if Matthew Dellavedova advances against Luca Castelnuovo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-casteln-dellave-2026-08-30
| 1.46K |
| Gewin | Luca Castelnuovo | 847.46 |
| BaronZhang | Luca Castelnuovo | 500 |
| standamo | Luca Castelnuovo | 407.39 |
| eoneq | Luca Castelnuovo | 353.58 |
| omnibus-076daa | Luca Castelnuovo | 327.99 |
| GC-P | Luca Castelnuovo | 286.95 |
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