Analytics
Resolved Franco Agamenone on 22 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Franco Agamenone at 79.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 21 Jun 2026 and the low 20.5% on 22 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 20.5% on 22 Jun 2026. $169.28K traded over the market's life.
91 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 23, 8:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Jun 2026 – 22 Jun 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 22 Jun 2026 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Keen Scout 8697 | Luca Castelnuovo | 26.58K |
| Neverlucki121 | Luca Castelnuovo | 11.82K |
| Sick-Backyard | Luca Castelnuovo | 5.34K |
| bolbol1 | Luca Castelnuovo | 3.07K |
| Kangta6365 | Luca Castelnuovo | 2.63K |
| Competent-Pillar | Luca Castelnuovo | 1.96K |
| pm6spekskiet | Luca Castelnuovo | 1.56K |
| Vigilant-Environment | Luca Castelnuovo | 1.5K |
| Ffeenstra | Luca Castelnuovo | 972.08 |
| shuwerx | Luca Castelnuovo | 696.3 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Franco Agamenone in the Targu Mures, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Franco Agamenone. This market will resolve to 'Franco Agamenone' if Franco Agamenone advances against Luca Castelnuovo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-casteln-agameno-2026-06-22
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