Analytics
Resolved Juan Manuel La Serna on 13 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Juan Manuel La Serna at 60.5%. The Hernan Casanova side was at 46% at 13 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 3 price reads from 13 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 13 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the highest read was 46.5% on 13 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC and the lowest 39.5% on 13 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. $188.24K traded over the market's life.
57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 11:11 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Hernan Casanova price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 13 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 13 Oct, 18:00 UTC, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Hernan Casanova price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 46.0% |
| 13 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| robustmst | Hernan Casanova | 12.23K |
| Grimy-Otter-Disk | Hernan Casanova | 8.19K |
| Juan12345678 | Hernan Casanova | 5.82K |
| Eminent-Pole | Hernan Casanova |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hernan Casanova and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hernan Casanova' if Hernan Casanova advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Hernan Casanova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-casanov-serna-2026-10-13
| 3K |
| Bagwell306 | Hernan Casanova | 2.5K |
| CAcap | Hernan Casanova | 1.49K |
| sentrio | Hernan Casanova | 1.26K |
| Lilybaeum | Hernan Casanova | 990.46 |
| Po1yamory | Hernan Casanova | 750 |
| nicoczyt | Hernan Casanova | 724.18 |
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