Analytics
Resolved Minaur on 4 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Minaur at 94%. The Carabelli side opened at 50.5% on 3 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2025 to 4 Oct 2025, the highest close was 50.5% on 3 Oct 2025 and the lowest 6% on 4 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 6% on 4 Oct 2025. $20.07K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Carabelli price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Oct 2025 – 4 Oct 2025
| Observed | Carabelli price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2025 | 50.5% |
| 4 Oct 2025 | 6.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 2j289uUmAio7ap245975 | Carabelli | 19.14 |
| Deafening-Possible | Carabelli | 14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Alex de Minaur in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, scheduled for October 3 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve in favor of the player(s) who officially advances to the next round. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-carabelli-vs-minaur-2025-10-04
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