Analytics
Resolved Camilo Ugo Carabelli on 20 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 56.5%. Yes opened at 44% on 19 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 19 May 2026 to 20 May 2026, the highest close was 44% on 19 May 2026 and the lowest 43.5% on 20 May 2026. $855.85K traded over the market's life.
172 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 21, 11:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 19 May 2026 – 20 May 2026, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 | 44.0% |
| 20 May 2026 | 43.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Wimmerr | Frances Tiafoe | 64.02K |
| Grizzled-Roundabout | Frances Tiafoe | 12.54K |
| boomudaed | Frances Tiafoe | 8K |
| Sophisticated-Rest | Frances Tiafoe |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Frances Tiafoe in the Hamburg European Open, originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-carabel-tiafoe-2026-05-20
| 7.53K |
| mortewfenloin | Frances Tiafoe | 7.13K |
| Reliable-Giggle | Frances Tiafoe | 6.12K |
| Faithful-Jazz | Frances Tiafoe | 5.28K |
| Bouncy-Arrangement | Frances Tiafoe | 3.84K |
| leleo17 | Frances Tiafoe | 1.77K |
| Triplosettete | Frances Tiafoe | 1.51K |
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