Analytics
Resolved Camilo Ugo Carabelli on 8 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 31.5%. The Camilo Ugo Carabelli side opened at 31.5% on 7 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2026 to 8 Oct 2026, the price held at 31.5%. $372.44K traded over the market's life.
136 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 7:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Camilo Ugo Carabelli price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 8 Oct 2026, chart shows 26%–38%
| Observed | Camilo Ugo Carabelli price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 31.5% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 31.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Ilia Simakin | 14.85K |
| Illiasca | Ilia Simakin | 9.57K |
| itsonlyamatteroftime | Ilia Simakin | 5.53K |
| W.Yang911 | Ilia Simakin |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Ilia Simakin in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-carabel-simakin-2026-10-07
| 5.16K |
| Justluck9 | Ilia Simakin | 5K |
| madkkee | Ilia Simakin | 4.56K |
| Gamer-Girl | Ilia Simakin | 4K |
| Substantial-Service | Ilia Simakin | 3.5K |
| RebornAthena | Ilia Simakin | 3.27K |
| simpson10 | Ilia Simakin | 1.09K |
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