Analytics
Resolved Carabelli on 13 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Carabelli at 22%. Yes opened at 46% on 12 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 12 Feb 2026 to 13 Feb 2026, the highest close was 78% on 13 Feb 2026 and the lowest 46% on 12 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 78% on 13 Feb 2026. $258.22K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 14, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 12 Feb 2026 – 13 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2026 | 46.0% |
| 13 Feb 2026 | 78.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bienville | Navone | 11.25K |
| Brunoruno | Navone | 5.98K |
| neutralwave23 | Navone | 3.8K |
| Fitting-Brood | Navone | 3.72K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Mariano Navone in the Argentina Open, scheduled for February 12 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Mariano Navone. This market will resolve to 'Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-carabel-navone-2026-02-12
| knedloveprovelo | Navone | 2.34K |
| Used-Efficiency | Navone | 1.19K |
| Sunny-Daily | Navone | 729.95 |
| Dancewithme123x | Navone | 539 |
| Svitok | Navone | 500 |
| Adzivu | Navone | 344.83 |
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