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Paper trading
Resolved Camilo Ugo Carabelli on 20 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 51.5%. The Camilo Ugo Carabelli side opened at 47% on 18 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51.5% on 19 Aug 2026 and the low 47% on 18 Aug 2026. $42.69K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 1:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Camilo Ugo Carabelli price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 18 Aug 2026 – 20 Aug 2026, chart shows 44%–56%
| Observed | Camilo Ugo Carabelli price |
|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2026 | 47.0% |
| 20 Aug 2026 | 51.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Nicolas Mejia | 13.67K |
| jiiivi655 | Nicolas Mejia | 3.27K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Nicolas Mejia | 2.6K |
| neutralwave23 | Nicolas Mejia | 1.23K |
| Teejy | Nicolas Mejia | 742.9 |
| Outlandish-Drummer | Nicolas Mejia | 400 |
| dafguj | Nicolas Mejia | 215.99 |
| flatbarrel | Nicolas Mejia | 172.99 |
| Overjoyed-Exclamation | Nicolas Mejia | 100 |
| blazedbunny | Nicolas Mejia | 90.91 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Nicolas Mejia in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Nicolas Mejia. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Mejia' if Nicolas Mejia advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-carabel-mejia-2026-08-18
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