Analytics
Resolved Camilo Ugo Carabelli on 5 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 100%. The Camilo Ugo Carabelli side opened at 38.5% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 5 Mar 2026 and the low 38.5% on 4 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 61 points up, to 100% on 5 Mar 2026.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 11:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Camilo Ugo Carabelli price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 4 Mar 2026 – 5 Mar 2026
| Observed | Camilo Ugo Carabelli price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 38.5% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Martin Damm | 5.19K |
| 4lem | Martin Damm | 2.36K |
| illraise7 | Martin Damm | 1K |
| j5600 | Martin Damm | 938.32 |
| Vivacious-Bankbook | Martin Damm | 677.07 |
| Generous-Burning | Martin Damm | 590.45 |
| imretired | Martin Damm | 530.3 |
| Ivory Oracle 24FA | Martin Damm | 507.91 |
| downbadc | Martin Damm | 500 |
| Joking22 | Martin Damm | 483.87 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Martin Damm in the BNP Paribas Open, scheduled for March 4 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Martin Damm. This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-carabel-damm-2026-03-04
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
