Analytics
Resolved Burruchaga on 17 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Burruchaga at 44.5%. The Carabelli side opened at 50.5% on 15 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 55.5% on 17 Feb 2026 and the low 50.5% on 15 Feb 2026. $131.42K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 19, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Carabelli price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 15 Feb 2026 – 17 Feb 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Carabelli price |
|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 17 Feb 2026 | 55.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpyyy | Carabelli | 10K |
| npdcbp | Carabelli | 7.9K |
| knedloveprovelo | Carabelli | 2.06K |
| MaksTrader | Carabelli | 1.82K |
| Joking22 | Carabelli | 472.41 |
| Technologiaaa | Carabelli | 422.22 |
| Uhnwi | Carabelli | 389.04 |
| ElInesperado | Carabelli | 332.32 |
| etshdahadthjnsfjnAHBETNTEA | Carabelli | 326.34 |
| Yucatano | Carabelli | 217.54 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Rio Open, scheduled for February 16 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Roman Andres Burruchaga. This market will resolve to 'Burruchaga' if Roman Andres Burruchaga advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-carabel-burruch-2026-02-16
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