Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 31.5%. Yes opened at 55.5% on 1 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 68.5% on 2 Oct 2026 and the low 55.5% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 68.5% on 2 Oct 2026. $157.97K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 8:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 2 Oct 2026, chart shows 50%–75%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 55.5% |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 68.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gptball | Yes | 12.6 |
| charnoz31 | Yes | 2.02 |
| claytonjohnson | Yes | 1.48 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Gianluca Cadenasso and Vitaliy Sachko in the Bari, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-cadenas-sachko-2026-10-02
| Amber Horizon 53D1 | Yes | 0.37 |
| Late-Region-Wok | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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