Analytics
Trading is closed with the Pablo Carreno Busta side last at 50%; no result has been reported.
$160.18K has traded since listing.
The largest Pablo Carreno Busta position is mrdantas with 2 shares; the largest Stan Wawrinka position is Violet Vector 4894 with 9.
Polymarket record as of May 6, 2:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Pablo Carreno Busta price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 5 May 2026, chart shows 60%–72%
| Observed | Pablo Carreno Busta price |
|---|---|
| 5 May 2026 | 66.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Vector 4894 | Stan Wawrinka | 8.82 |
| mrdantas | Pablo Carreno Busta | 1.9 |
| 20260405 | Stan Wawrinka | 0.56 |
| wqeewqeadawfawfwa | Stan Wawrinka | 0.06 |
| BeatYou6 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Stan Wawrinka in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Stan Wawrinka. This market will resolve to 'Stan Wawrinka' if Stan Wawrinka advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-busta-wawrink-2026-05-05
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