Analytics
Resolved Marvin Moeller on 12 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Marvin Moeller at 53.5%. The Raul Brancaccio side opened at 43.5% on 11 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 46.5% on 12 Aug 2026 and the low 43.5% on 11 Aug 2026. $415.03K traded over the market's life.
128 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 13, 5:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Raul Brancaccio price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 11 Aug 2026 – 12 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–50%
| Observed | Raul Brancaccio price |
|---|---|
| 11 Aug 2026 | 43.5% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | 46.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| riggggggedGGGGr | Raul Brancaccio | 11.5K |
| Numb-Ramie | Raul Brancaccio | 8.02K |
| danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6 | Raul Brancaccio | 6.98K |
| trvlx | Raul Brancaccio | 3K |
| na13683 | Raul Brancaccio | 1.5K |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Raul Brancaccio | 1.19K |
| gouyt | Raul Brancaccio | 1.15K |
| Hiho820 | Raul Brancaccio | 784.12 |
| horoshka | Raul Brancaccio | 588 |
| GC-P | Raul Brancaccio | 529.4 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Raul Brancaccio and Marvin Moeller in the Hamburg, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raul Brancaccio' if Raul Brancaccio advances against Marvin Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Raul Brancaccio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-brancac-moelle-2026-08-12
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