Analytics
Resolved Luka Pavlovic on 22 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Luka Pavlovic at 35.5%. Yes opened at 58.5% on 21 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 64.5% on 22 May 2026 and the low 58.5% on 21 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 64.5% on 22 May 2026. $91.22K traded over the market's life.
75 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 23, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 May 2026 – 22 May 2026, chart shows 55%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 58.5% |
| 22 May 2026 | 64.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NiNo999 | Darwin Blanch | 14.89K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Darwin Blanch | 3.32K |
| MaxiChibrax | Darwin Blanch | 2.23K |
| hkhjfgy | Darwin Blanch | 1.74K |
| MarcosFiilho | Darwin Blanch | 1.58K |
| AceOfBase777 | Darwin Blanch | 1.5K |
| Firsthand-Miscommunication | Darwin Blanch | 1.23K |
| Troubled-Dysfunction-Lashes | Darwin Blanch | 1.17K |
| neutralwave23 | Darwin Blanch | 1K |
| Faithful-Jazz | Darwin Blanch | 780.83 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Darwin Blanch and Luka Pavlovic in the Roland Garros, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for May 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against Luka Pavlovic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Darwin Blanch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-blanc-pavlovi-2026-05-22
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