
Resolved Under 2.5 on 25 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Under 2.5 at 50%. The Over 2.5 side was at 29% at 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the highest read was 50% on 25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC and the lowest 29% on 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 5:04 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Over 2.5 price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 25 Oct, 12:00 UTC, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Over 2.5 price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 29.0% |
| 25 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 50.0% |
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This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandr Binda and Jia Hu in the Ningbo Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:20AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" otherwise. A set counts as played once it has begun, even if it is not played to completion. A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If a player retires, withdraws, is defaulted, or is disqualified, or the match otherwise begins but is not completed, this market will resolve based on any outcome that was already unequivocally determined at the time play stopped. An outcome is considered unequivocally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, for a line of 2.5, if play stops with the players at one set each, completing the match would have required at least one additional set, resulting in at least 3 sets played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If neither outcome was already determined at the time play stopped, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or has not been completed by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless an outcome was already unequivocally determined as described above. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ATP Tour statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-binda-hu-2026-10-25
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