Analytics
Resolved Nikoloz Basilashvili on 23 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Nikoloz Basilashvili at 54.5%. The Nikoloz Basilashvili side was at 52% at 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 4 price reads from 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC to 23 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the highest read was 54.5% on 22 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC and the lowest 52% on 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. $294.88K traded over the market's life.
198 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 9:52 AM UTC
6-hour closes of the Nikoloz Basilashvili price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 21 Oct, 18:00 UTC – 23 Oct, 06:00 UTC, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Nikoloz Basilashvili price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 52.0% |
| 23 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 54.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Adrian Mannarino | 27.28K |
| CandleHammerDrums | Adrian Mannarino | 7.84K |
| 6512395314597884 | Adrian Mannarino | 6.74K |
| Tobias1909 | Adrian Mannarino |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Adrian Mannarino in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-basilas-mannari-2026-10-23
| 6K |
| rugmoney | Adrian Mannarino | 4K |
| Irresponsible-Autumn | Adrian Mannarino | 2.88K |
| Exalted-Evocation | Adrian Mannarino | 2.78K |
| 12xmrbolt | Adrian Mannarino | 2.54K |
| SportsGuru | Adrian Mannarino | 2.34K |
| 88M | Adrian Mannarino | 2.14K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
