Analytics
Resolved Carlos Alcaraz on 29 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Carlos Alcaraz at 69%. The Carlos Alcaraz side was at 67.5% at 29 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 29 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 29 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the highest read was 69% on 29 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC and the lowest 67.5% on 29 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. $13.64K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 29, 5:53 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Carlos Alcaraz price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 29 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 29 Oct, 12:00 UTC, chart shows 62%–74%
| Observed | Carlos Alcaraz price |
|---|---|
| 29 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 67.5% |
| 29 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 69.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| VeryLucky888 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 4.41K |
| CAcap | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 1K |
| fatboyslimfatboyslim | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 383.66 |
| Dismal-Sousaphone | Nikoloz Basilashvili |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Carlos Alcaraz" if Carlos Alcaraz wins by 2 or more sets than Nikoloz Basilashvili, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Nikoloz Basilashvili." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Carlos Alcaraz can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Nikoloz Basilashvili." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-basilas-alcaraz-2026-10-29
| 312.18 |
| alberthegreat88 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 205.88 |
| Plain-Hazel-Suffocation | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 200 |
| Wavy-Race | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 151.61 |
| nigiri99 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 125 |
| notbroken | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 99.99 |
| barabarabara | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 66.67 |
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