Analytics
Resolved Alex Barrena on 27 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alex Barrena at 100%. The Alex Barrena side opened at 45.5% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 27 Mar 2026 and the low 45.5% on 26 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 54 points up, to 100% on 27 Mar 2026. $101.16K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 28, 1:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Alex Barrena price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 27 Mar 2026
| Observed | Alex Barrena price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 45.5% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Juan Pablo Varillas | 6.02K |
| Irritating-Keeper | Juan Pablo Varillas | 1K |
| Exotic-Van | Juan Pablo Varillas | 255.1 |
| cesarcc | Juan Pablo Varillas | 221.28 |
| Used-Efficiency | Juan Pablo Varillas | 205.95 |
| el-mono-caliche | Juan Pablo Varillas | 90.91 |
| 1f2da719e0b226d9d91664b0cfe0659 | Juan Pablo Varillas | 69 |
| xiaoma888888 | Juan Pablo Varillas | 68.83 |
| slimjoe | Juan Pablo Varillas | 66.42 |
| triklozoid | Juan Pablo Varillas | 50 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Alex Barrena and Juan Pablo Varillas in the Sao Paulo, scheduled for March 26 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Juan Pablo Varillas. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Alex Barrena. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-barrena-varilla-2026-03-26
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