Analytics
Resolved Valentin Vacherot on 10 Oct 2026.
$361.84K traded over the market's life.
92 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 11, 2:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Sebastian Baez price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 10 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–35%
| Observed | Sebastian Baez price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Sebastian Baez | 16.49K |
| Luzzzer | Sebastian Baez | 11.11K |
| Rapid Oracle E5A4 | Sebastian Baez | 9.52K |
| nuuki | Sebastian Baez | 9K |
| Kch-Temp | Sebastian Baez | 5K |
| AnonymousUsername | Sebastian Baez | 3.79K |
| astapzippo | Sebastian Baez | 2K |
| Quirky-Arrogance | Sebastian Baez | 1.9K |
| Viniiiiii | Sebastian Baez | 1.28K |
| Solar Beacon 449C | Sebastian Baez | 1.06K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Valentin Vacherot in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Valentin Vacherot. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Sebastian Baez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-baez-vachero-2026-10-09
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