Analytics
Resolved Opelka on 21 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Opelka at 69%. The Baez side opened at 21.5% on 20 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2025 to 21 Oct 2025, the highest close was 31% on 21 Oct 2025 and the lowest 21.5% on 20 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 31% on 21 Oct 2025. $15.04K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Baez price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 20 Oct 2025 – 21 Oct 2025, chart shows 15%–35%
| Observed | Baez price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2025 | 21.5% |
| 21 Oct 2025 | 31.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Noxious-Trachoma | Baez | 500 |
| 4-seas | Baez | 350 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Baez | 246 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Baez | 121 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Reilly Opelka in the Swiss Indoors Basel, scheduled for October 21 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Reilly Opelka. This market will resolve to 'Opelka' if Reilly Opelka advances against Sebastian Baez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve in favor of the player(s) who officially advances to the next round. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-baez-opelka-2025-10-21
| Bookerbruce | Baez | 113.13 |
| Overjoyed-Anterior | Baez | 100 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Baez | 50 |
| Lilpump | Baez | 33.33 |
| JT13 | Baez | 32.99 |
| WiggleD | Baez | 3.03 |
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