Analytics
Resolved Arda Azkara on 7 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Arda Azkara at 64.5%. Yes opened at 43% on 6 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 6 Jul 2026 to 7 Jul 2026, the highest close was 43% on 6 Jul 2026 and the lowest 35.5% on 7 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 35.5% on 7 Jul 2026. $34.96K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 8, 5:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 6 Jul 2026 – 7 Jul 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2026 | 43.0% |
| 7 Jul 2026 | 35.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Oliver Bonding | 7.08K |
| sentrio | Oliver Bonding | 1.83K |
| omnibus-076daa | Oliver Bonding | 814.21 |
| DennisHoro | Oliver Bonding |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arda Azkara and Oliver Bonding in the Nottingham 3, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arda Azkara' if Arda Azkara advances against Oliver Bonding. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Bonding' if Oliver Bonding advances against Arda Azkara. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-azkara-bonding-2026-07-07
| 76.92 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Oliver Bonding | 58.93 |
| antec | Oliver Bonding | 53.44 |
| diabeto67 | Oliver Bonding | 35.04 |
| darl-bundren | Oliver Bonding | 21.74 |
| Pen2 | Oliver Bonding | 20 |
| ashleyjones | Oliver Bonding | 14.51 |
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