Analytics
Resolved Nicolas Arseneault on 14 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Nicolas Arseneault at 67.5%. Yes opened at 30% on 13 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 32.5% on 14 Jul 2026 and the low 30% on 13 Jul 2026. $488.28K traded over the market's life.
167 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 15, 2:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 13 Jul 2026 – 14 Jul 2026, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jul 2026 | 30.0% |
| 14 Jul 2026 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Andres Martin | 20.38K |
| BlasdeLezo1492 | Andres Martin | 9.39K |
| GUINESS123 | Andres Martin | 3.09K |
| dzejlanbezs | Andres Martin | 2.72K |
| SBA666 | Andres Martin | 2.47K |
| Guifousp | Andres Martin | 2.2K |
| blank7633 | Andres Martin | 1.82K |
| PhantomRonin | Andres Martin | 1.1K |
| tennisroger | Andres Martin | 1.05K |
| Deep-Palm | Andres Martin | 851.75 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Arseneault and Andres Martin in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Arseneault' if Nicolas Arseneault advances against Andres Martin. This market will resolve to 'Andres Martin' if Andres Martin advances against Nicolas Arseneault. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-arsenea-marti-2026-07-13
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