Analytics
Resolved Zverev on 23 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Zverev at 73.5%. Yes opened at 60% on 22 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 60% on 22 Oct 2025 and the low 26.5% on 23 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 26.5% on 23 Oct 2025. $81.4K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 22 Oct 2025 – 23 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2025 | 60.0% |
| 23 Oct 2025 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gangster1 | Arnaldi | 2.3K |
| Avaricious-Sonata | Arnaldi | 2K |
| nzone | Arnaldi | 523.4 |
| robinvanpersie | Arnaldi | 200 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Arnaldi | 138 |
| rapigalle | Arnaldi | 137.06 |
| lcwgGc | Arnaldi | 123 |
| burixx | Arnaldi | 115.38 |
| vY7Vq | Arnaldi | 105 |
| Quintessential-Yawl | Arnaldi | 96.15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a polymarket on the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Alexander Zverev in the Erste Bank Open, scheduled for October 23 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Alexander Zverev. This market will resolve to 'Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve in favor of the player(s) who officially advances to the next round. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-arnaldi-zverev-2025-10-23
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
