Analytics
Resolved Lorenzo Musetti on 19 Oct 2026.
$456.97K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 20, 5:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Matteo Arnaldi price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 19 Oct 2026, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Matteo Arnaldi price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 34.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kkunn | Matteo Arnaldi | 60K |
| Israel10 | Matteo Arnaldi | 14.35K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Matteo Arnaldi | 11.52K |
| Unlucky-Marker | Matteo Arnaldi | 4.43K |
| caspar1248 | Matteo Arnaldi | 3.42K |
| ubetteruuuu | Matteo Arnaldi | 2.7K |
| Y33 | Matteo Arnaldi | 2.38K |
| vladiva | Matteo Arnaldi | 2.37K |
| 4lem | Matteo Arnaldi | 1.06K |
| nicoczyt | Matteo Arnaldi | 999.96 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Lorenzo Musetti in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Lorenzo Musetti. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-arnaldi-musetti-2026-10-19
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