Analytics
Resolved Matteo Arnaldi on 6 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Matteo Arnaldi at 59.5%. The Matteo Arnaldi side opened at 57.5% on 5 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 5 May 2026 to 6 May 2026, the highest close was 59.5% on 6 May 2026 and the lowest 57.5% on 5 May 2026. $684.83K traded over the market's life.
186 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 7:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Matteo Arnaldi price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 5 May 2026 – 6 May 2026, chart shows 52%–64%
| Observed | Matteo Arnaldi price |
|---|---|
| 5 May 2026 | 57.5% |
| 6 May 2026 | 59.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlasTesla | Jaume Munar | 35.36K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Jaume Munar | 27.14K |
| Confused-Birthday | Jaume Munar | 20.37K |
| g64 | Jaume Munar | 17.84K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Jaume Munar in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Jaume Munar. This market will resolve to 'Jaume Munar' if Jaume Munar advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-arnaldi-munar-2026-05-06
| Mikee12 | Jaume Munar | 10.29K |
| numbernine | Jaume Munar | 4.99K |
| Errrrreapau | Jaume Munar | 2.96K |
| mortewfenloin | Jaume Munar | 2.69K |
| Keen Pioneer 5FB9 | Jaume Munar | 2.36K |
| Dooose | Jaume Munar | 2.2K |
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