Analytics
Resolved Rafael Jodar on 11 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Rafael Jodar at 100%. The Matteo Arnaldi side opened at 24.5% on 9 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 9 May 2026 to 11 May 2026, the highest close was 24.5% on 9 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 0.1% on 11 May 2026. $891.43K traded over the market's life.
131 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 12, 1:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Matteo Arnaldi price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 9 May 2026 – 11 May 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Matteo Arnaldi price |
|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | 24.5% |
| 11 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Matteo Arnaldi | 62.93K |
| one8tyfive | Matteo Arnaldi | 19.48K |
| Lilybaeum | Matteo Arnaldi | 10.06K |
| DCAETH | Matteo Arnaldi |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Rafael Jodar in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Rafael Jodar. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-arnaldi-jodar-2026-05-10
| 5K |
| Spotless-Spirituality | Matteo Arnaldi | 5K |
| Forthright-Lamp | Matteo Arnaldi | 4.81K |
| Teguh.pra | Matteo Arnaldi | 4.2K |
| nuuki | Matteo Arnaldi | 3.67K |
| kasongoYeah | Matteo Arnaldi | 3.6K |
| hi774c | Matteo Arnaldi | 2.84K |
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