Analytics
Resolved Matteo Arnaldi on 30 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Matteo Arnaldi at 64.5%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 29 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 29 May 2026 to 30 May 2026, the highest close was 46.5% on 29 May 2026 and the lowest 35.5% on 30 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 35.5% on 30 May 2026. $1.25M traded over the market's life.
189 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 31, 10:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 29 May 2026 – 30 May 2026, chart shows 30%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 May 2026 | 46.5% |
| 30 May 2026 | 35.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Antique-History | Raphael Collignon | 25.7K |
| megashvbwuy | Raphael Collignon | 9K |
| Tobias1909 | Raphael Collignon | 6K |
| vibing123 | Raphael Collignon | 5.25K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Raphael Collignon in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Raphael Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-arnaldi-collign-2026-05-30
| RN1 | Raphael Collignon | 4.51K |
| petyas231 | Raphael Collignon | 2.58K |
| Light-Familiarity | Raphael Collignon | 2.17K |
| Webbed-Cork | Raphael Collignon | 1.5K |
| gdfgdfggdf | Raphael Collignon | 1.2K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Raphael Collignon | 1.13K |
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